Some players draw more attention after getting traded or signing a big extension, and Buckner did both this offseason. Partner with Us Back. Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. I'd like to see a bigger sample before I treat that rate as gospel, and players such as DeAngelo Hall and Everson Walls had long careers without making it to the Hall, but Lattimore is off to a promising start. All rights reserved. Jones is likely to top 13,000 receiving yards and earn his eighth Pro Bowl nod this season, which should be enough to seal things for the superstar wideout. In the running (40% to 69%): S Eddie Jackson. At the same time, Green has missed 23 games over the past two years with injuries. The former Philadelphia Eagles great and St. Louis Rams star will become the 28th and 29th wide receivers to be honored with a place in Canton, OH. He has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls, although his only first-team All-Pro nod came in 2017. After being retired for five years, players maintain modern-era eligibility for 20 years, after which their cases go to the seniors committee. Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor, Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. With their city hosting the Final Four, the Cougars don't shy from national title talk. Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. Syndication Packersnews All HOFm Positions: QBRBWRTEGTCDTDEILBOLBDBKP, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2:32PM. Cooper has made four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons. Around the NFL Writer. Kittle is the best all-around tight end in football right now, and if you could tell me this minute that he would have a 12-year career, I'd expect him to be a Hall of Famer. The shrine in Canton, Ohio, is one that hasnt been easy to gain membership in through the years. Likely (70% to 99%): TE Rob Gronkowski. Peters might not be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but he should get in eventually. He's the second-most productive receiver in football history. Or write about sports? In other words, instead of trying to project their chances by guessing what they'll do in the future, I'm looking at what they've done so far, comparing them to players at similar points in their careers, and seeing how often players with those sorts of careers made it into the Hall of Fame. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Dak Prescott, WR Amari Cooper. Given his style, I worry about his aging curve versus that of tight ends who are basically glorified wide receivers. Harris has four Pro Bowls and a first-team All-Pro appearance in 2016, but his play has slipped over the past couple of years, and smaller cornerbacks typically don't do well after they turn 30. He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE DeMarcus Lawrence, DT Gerald McCoy, LB Leighton Vander Esch. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Jalen Ramsey. Julio or Hopkins: Who's the better bet to lead in receiving? Kiper's draft grades for every team Join our linker program. ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN Do you have a blog? We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. Ten years after he retires, we're more likely to look at his two first-team All-Pro nods and forget those times he guessed wrong and gave up touchdowns with the Chiefs and Rams. Over that five-year span, Landry ranks third in the NFL in catches and seventh in receiving yards. Eagles fans will be furious, but the reality is that Wentz has made one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game or led the league in a major statistical category (outside of fumbles) during his first four seasons. Work to do (10% to 39%): C Alex Mack, DT Grady Jarrett. Kuechly played just eight seasons with the Panthers from 2012-19, but they were very good ones, with five first team All-Pro selections, seven Pro Bowls and a spot on the All-2010s team. On Saturday night, Eagles star Harold Carmichael and Rams star Isaac Bruce were inducted as part of a . AP Photo/Harold Filan. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Chandler Jones. From 2015 to 2019, his numbers are virtually identical to those of Eric Ebron. Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. If you were asked to name off the top of your head the three best NFL receivers to enter the league at 21, you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. Players the Jaguars could target The Defensive Player of the Year candidate was named a first-team All-Pro in 2015 and 2019, but he hasn't received any other nominations across his other five pro seasons. No promotions available. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. March 25, 2020 9:36 pm ET. Seymour has a better rsum and more Super Bowl rings and hasn't made it in, but he peaked earlier in his career; if Campbell can stay productive and win a ring or two with the Ravens, it might push him into more significant consideration. In the running (40% to 69%): DT Ndamukong Suh. The Saints have the best tackle combination in football, but Armstead went underappreciated before picking up steam over the past couple of years and Ramczyk raised his game in 2019. He also has worked at the Austin American-Statesman and Temple Daily Telegram. Naturally, now seems like a good time to look forward. Work to do (10% to 39%): S Tyrann Mathieu. In both cases, I'm looking mostly at the historical output for first overall picks. OBJ hasn't made a Pro Bowl since 2016, and while this could be a bounce-back year for the former Giants star, another middling campaign would push him into the "Work to do" tier. He followed that by posting a passer rating of 135.3 in the playoffs, which was the second-best mark in league history for a quarterback with at least 75 attempts. The list of players who have done that isn't long, as it consists of Lawrence Taylor, Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith, Patrick Willis, Aaron Donald and Martin. Erica Farber. Theyre easily first-ballot selections. Like Campbell, Heyward didn't earn widespread notoriety until he was approaching 30, with the Steelers star becoming a first-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler for the first time in his seventh season. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation Seymour made it to seven Pro Bowls and three All-Pro teams and hasn't made it to the Hall of Fame, but Thomas was more conspicuous at safety and was a key member of a legendary defense. Witten is also the only Hall of Fame candidate on the Raiders' roster. Just play along. As a result, I would expect him to make it to the Hall someday. Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. Adams has two Pro Bowls and an All-Pro nod across his first three seasons, putting him in a group with safeties such as Kenny Easley, Steve Atwater, Ed Reed and Troy Polamalu. If pro football did what hockey used to and waive the waiting period for the likes of Gordie Howe, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux, it could be argued Brady deserves the same treatment. Will OBJ defy his long-shot odds to lead NFL in receiving yards? XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? I think Thomas is a prohibitive favorite to get in. Carmichael was one of the best wide receivers of his era. Tony Kornheiser and Michael Wilbon both expect Frank Gore to get into the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but do not see him as a lock to get into Canton. Of the nine corners who have debuted since the NFL-AFL merger and made the Hall of Fame, just two had been a first-team All-Pro by their third season, which puts White in good company alongside Rod Woodson and then-corner Ronnie Lott. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Matt Ryan, WR Julio Jones. Nelson doesn't play a high-profile position, but he's off to a great start. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Kyler Murray, S Budda Baker. Lock (100%): DE J.J. Watt. Thielen only emerged as a starter after turning 26, which means he would have to play into his late 30s to have a chance at racking up the cumulative stats modern wide receivers will need for enshrinement. Football Insiders with Trey Wingo. What makes Evans production especially impressive is that he entered the league at such a young age. Timing can matter for players, and it has been weird for Suh. Wagner turned 30 in June, and after eight seasons in the league, he has six Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nominations. David has been supremely underrated during his career, but after earning a first-team All-Pro nod in 2013, he has made it to a lone Pro Bowl over the ensuing six seasons. Hes top-10 in passing yards and touchdowns, so hell get a gold jacket at some point, if not on the first ballot. The Hall is forgiving of running backs, and Bell's versatility should age well, but he has missed a lot of time through injuries, suspensions and his 2018 holdout. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. McCaffrey could turn into LaDainian Tomlinson, but what if he's more like Shaun Alexander, who won league MVP at his peak and never really got serious Hall of Fame consideration? The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. The Bucs already have the best receiver duo in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and the addition of a player like Brown in his prime would make this unit completely unfair. But as a running back who has been above average or good seemingly forever, he's getting in. Only two full-time kickers Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen are in the Hall of Fame, but it would be hard to see Vinatieri shut out given his accomplishments. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. In one of Coach Saban's press conferences, he spoke about some of the questions asked by the players to . The two first-time eligible players who stand out on next years ballot are defensive end Julius Peppers and tight end Antonio Gates. I believe Evans will be in the NFL Hall of Fame someday, and in this piece I hit on a few of the reasons for my position. The first game of the 2023 NFL calendar is . Heyward reminds me a lot of Campbell; they're prototypical five-technique ends who upped their pass-rushing performance when given more opportunities to get after the quarterback. While Tucker would be the overwhelming choice as the best kicker in football, the Hall has elected just two full-time kickers in its history. Gore is third in career rushing yards, which owes much to the fact that he also ranks third in carries. The Cowboys are blessed with two linemen bound for Canton. Mathieu is a great player and just turned 28, so he still has plenty of time, but he probably needs four or five more Pro Bowl seasons or a DPOY victory to really get in the discussion. If you want to know why people are excited about the Cowboys' offense in 2020, consider that they could have as many as five future Hall of Famers lining up when everyone's healthy. All but Gronkowski generated controversial off-field headlines, but the Hall voters only debate what is accomplished on the field. Xavien Howard made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and would be the best candidate, but he has missed an average of six games per season across his four pro campaigns. The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. Rent the Hall. That's just about a magic formula for getting into the Hall. He is a graduate of Southwest Texas State University and Bowie High School in Austin. Edelman's case rests entirely on playoff and Super Bowl production. With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. Unless Evans has a Powell-esque decline or gets radically overshadowed by a teammate la Holt with Isaac Bruce, then Evans seems to have a good chance to get into the Hall eventually. Of all the young receivers, Moss is the only one to accomplish more through the first five seasons of his career. With five consecutive first-team All-Pro appearances, he could retire tomorrow and get in without any questions. Future Hall of Fame Wide Receiver Gushes Over Giants' Kadarius Toney 123 Shares By Vinny Somma Updated Apr 30, 2021 at 1:11pm Getty Kadarius Toney #1 of the Florida Gators reacts after. Donald clinched his gold jacket when he won his second Defensive Player of the Year award. He's ahead of guys like Von Miller, Dwight Freeney, Terrell Suggs and Bruce Smith, and while he played more games than all but Suggs, the fact that he was a productive pass-rusher from the jump as a 21-year-old is a positive. This is the big question: How much longer will Evans play and how productive will he be? Likely (60% to 99%): RB Frank Gore. If Kelce can earn that nod in 2020, that might be enough to get him in. He led that sports section to three Associated Press Sports Editors top-10 national awards and his work has been honored by APSE and the Texas Associated Press Managing Editors. In the running (40% to 69%): OT Trent Williams. By Paul Mclane . Archive: Every podcast from Barnwell . Since there have been only 346 people elected to the Hall of Fame (some of whom aren't even players), we don't always have great measures or estimates for what players at each given position have to do to make it. So this is really a list of 15. One issue: Five of those six are running backs, with Randy Moss as the only exception. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. Left and right arrows move across top level links and expand / close menus in sub levels. The second-best trade in Reid's history might have been trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009 for Peters, who has held down left tackle for 10 of the past 11 seasons in Philadelphia and will return to play guard in 2020. Likely (70% to 99%): WR Tyreek Hill, TE Travis Kelce. After that, we have players who are Likely to get in, who I estimate have between a 70% and 99% chance of earning induction. Since the merger, 11 offensive linemen have been named a first-team All-Pro in four consecutive seasons, and nine of them are in the Hall of Fame. Unlike Gurley, McCaffrey didn't win Offensive Player of the Year or make a deep playoff run. In his final college season, he had a nice 69 receptions for 1,394 yards and 12 touchdowns in 13 games as a redshirt sophomore. Browns star left tackle Joe Thomas and Jets greats Joe . At the combine, he measured in at 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds and ran an impressive 4.53-second 40-yard dash. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. It was a good weekend for wide receivers at the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio. Buckner made the Pro Bowl in 2018, but he was otherwise underappreciated during his four seasons in the Bay Area. In the running (40% to 69%): S Jamal Adams. If the Falcons had held on to their lead and won the Super Bowl, Ryan would have won game MVP, and his 2016 probably would have been enough for a gold jacket. Likely (70% to 99%): WR Michael Thomas. podcast, future Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, aware of the Raiders and Jets being interested in trading for the always-grumbling MVP. We all know what he's capable of, but he needs to put together a first-team All-Pro or Defensive Player of the Year-level campaign soon. The Best Wide Receivers of AllTime. Many of the modern-era players to whom hes statistically comparable played well into their 30s. In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. More on the Ring of Honor found on the team website. He made only two Pro Bowls with the Cardinals, which was a farce. Hightower has made huge plays in two Super Bowls, having stuffed Marshawn Lynch at the 1-yard line and strip-sacked Matt Ryan, but he has rarely gotten the regular-season attention he deserves. Gore is the football equivalent of somebody like MLB outfielder Jim Rice as a compiler who plays a position the electorate loves. 260 players who could win MVP Both players are on a streak, and their chances depend on keeping that streak going. The former Ozen High star and 14-year NBA vet has more on his mind than basketball, offering essays on life, his family and America. Only Chandler Jones and Aaron Donald have more sacks since the start of 2017. James was a first-team All-Pro as a rookie, and while he missed 11 games in 2019 with a foot injury, he should get back on track in 2020. I think Patrick Willis is going to make it in after an eight-year career in which he racked up seven Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nods and retired as he turned 30. Even if Hopkins takes a step backward without Deshaun Watson, he's probably just a couple of Pro Bowls from getting in. Regardless of age, Evans has had an impressive start to his career. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. He isn't going to catch Jerry Rice, but he's just under 5,000 yards behind Larry Fitzgerald, who ranks second in career receiving yards. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. Hunter just needs more individual recognition to raise his chances. You could make a case Jones belongs in the Likely category based on his 2017 and 2019 seasons, although I'd argue there's a significant gap between those two campaigns and the rest of his career. He deserves it. 3 pick. Ingram wasn't very good for extended stretches of time until his fourth season in the league in New Orleans, and while he has made three Pro Bowls since, he hasn't had a top-five season in terms of production or won a Super Bowl. He is right on the borderline between the "Work to do" and "In the running" tiers. Skeptics will point out that Rivers was 5-6 in the postseason and only made it as far as one AFC Championship Game, but he's also sixth in NFL history in passing yards and passing touchdowns. 1 pick and winning Offensive Rookie of the Year, but that hasn't historically been a helpful combination. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Terron Armstead, OT Ryan Ramczyk. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. After missing the postseason for the first time in four years, the Green Bay Packers will now spend their offseason with one topic at the forefront of their internal conversations: the future of Aaron Rodgers. Evans and Godwin might end up hurting each other's chances by preventing the other from getting a 185-target season like the one Michael Thomas enjoyed in 2019. While James is closer to the 69% end of the spectrum here, Bosa's more toward 40%. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Draft a league now and start fresh with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule. The Notre Dame product probably needs a second one to have a viable shot at Canton. Get started >>. The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30. Six players have done that since the merger: Murray, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, George Rogers, Billy Sims and Earl Campbell. Unless he turns things around dramatically this season, he would fall out of the "Work to do" category altogether. But lack of team success isnt a disqualifier. The only player in the Hall of Fame primarily for his work as a punter is Ray Guy, and you could make a case that Hekker is on that track. Just six of 32 Hall-eligible winners made it to Canton, although that's going to rise in the years to come as the likes of Charles Woodson and Julius Peppers win enshrinement. Gore had the misfortune of playing for some bad San Francisco and Indianapolis teams, but his numbers are certainly impressive. If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. A starter from day one, Jackson was a first-team All-Pro while leading the league in interceptions in 2018. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. Lock (100%): RB Adrian Peterson. Likely (70% to 99%): DT Geno Atkins. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. But given the relatively small number of modern-era inductees each year a minimum of three and maximum of five now is a good time to look at the ballot in upcoming years and notable players wholl become eligible for election and may impact Johnsons fate with voters. As a result, I'll mention them often, especially when looking at players who don't touch the ball frequently. He has made five consecutive Pro Bowls and has a first-team All-Pro appearance. Given the ages of Gilmore and Patrick Peterson, Ramsey is neck-and-neck with White and Marshon Lattimore as the likely best cornerback in football over the next five years. The former LSU corner was already a star on the field after his 2018 campaign, but getting that first nod is usually tougher than getting invited back. Only nine players have done that in league history; outside of Green, the only player of the bunch who isn't in the Hall of Fame or a lock to get in is offensive tackle Richmond Webb, who played a much less notable position. It's an extremely small sample, and Collins is another example of a player who had an early All-Pro appearance before taking a step backward, but Adams projects as a superstar. The Museum of Broadcast Communications also named its first 33 "Legends" inductees, one for each year of the hall's . The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Making sense of Mahomes' deal Complicating things for Johnson is the logjam of candidates at his position. QB Anthony Richardson rejects 'project label' entering combine, Texans terminate center Justin Britt's contract, Bun B, Badu, J.J. Watt celebrate RodeoHouston Southern Takeover. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Lamar Jackson, CB Marcus Peters, K Justin Tucker. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Hes too similar to other Hall-of-Famers and future Hall-of-Famers not to be taken seriously. The future of Tampa Bay's tight end room. Manning won two Super Bowls with the Giants, winning MVP both times. 7 overall in the 2014 draft at the age of 20. Pictured: Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13). We present them here for purely educational purposes. Ten of those 12 are in the Hall -- Elliott and Adrian Peterson are the other two. No offensive lineman is ever a lock when guys like Faneca still aren't enshrined, but Smith plays the most prominent position on the line for the most popular team in the league. The one-time tight end has made nine Pro Bowls and was a first-team All-Pro twice. Of the 16 Hall-eligible first-rounders who were first-team All-Pros as rookies, nine are enshrined. I would put Gronkowski's chance somewhere around 99%. To contrast with a Hall of Famer, Derrick Brooks had six Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances by this point. The big deal he signed with the Jags and the subsequent 14.5-sack campaign he posted in leading them to the AFC Championship Game turned the tide, as Campbell was a first-team All-Pro and made three consecutive Pro Bowl trips with Jacksonville. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Danielle Hunter, S Harrison Smith. In part, that has been driven by health; the only other wideout ranking in the top 100 for receiving yards who has played all 80 games over the past five seasons is Larry Fitzgerald. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? . Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only player with more receiving yards in the playoffs is Jerry Rice. Newton has an MVP award, which goes a long way toward pushing any player into the Hall of Fame. Kelce is difficult to judge because tight ends aren't well represented in the Hall. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Joe Burrow. (You might remember Mitchell Trubisky in the Pro Bowl in 2018.) Leonard, with one All-Pro spot and a Pro Bowl appearance last year, is right behind. All but. I addressed this in my MVP column in July. Wagner also has a Super Bowl victory and, quite famously, an MVP vote from Tony Dungy on his rsum. In recent years Seattle has gained somewhat of a reputation as being the last stop for future Hall of Fame wide receivers. In a normal universe, we would be celebrating the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2020 right about now.